Cosmological inference with MBHB as standard sirens [7.5 yr]

FoM

- OK 0.016320381194493735 [0.25 0.05 0.01] : SO6 cosmography (best population) \(H_0\) error

\(\Delta H_0\) for realisation 3 of population Q3d (see below for details).

- OK 0.02595201276257492 [0.3 0.1 0.01] : SO6 cosmography (best population) \(\Omega_m\) error

\(\Delta \Omega_m\) for realisation 3 of population Q3d (see below for details).

Summary

We took a catalog of MBHB events (for the populations Pop3, Q3d, Q3nd) and, for each population, build 10 realisation of standard sirens (events with EM conterpart) for a mission duration of 7.5 years. We then computed the errors in parameter estimation for each realisation source, and, for sources with \(\Delta \Omega < 10\), we generated 32000 MCMC samples for the \(H_0\) and \(\Omega_m\) cosmological parameters. For each population we selected the realisation with the best, the worst and the median error on the \(H_0\) parameter. The table is reported below.

Realisation \(H_0\) median \(H_0\) error \(\Omega_m\) median \(\Omega_m\) err Realisation id
Pop3 lowest \(\Delta H_0\). 0.730029 0.128924 0.562261 0.237805 0
Pop3 median \(\Delta H_0\). 0.583235 0.224178 0.470087 0.282816 5
Pop3 highest\(\Delta H_0\). 0.482467 0.248464 0.453331 0.304275 9
Q3d lowest \(\Delta H_0\). 0.732217 0.007769 0.251282 0.014865 7
Q3d median \(\Delta H_0\). 0.726672 0.016320 0.263026 0.025952 3
Q3d highest\(\Delta H_0\). 0.538528 0.097579 0.990048 0.319700 6
Q3nd lowest \(\Delta H_0\). 0.746312 0.029089 0.229889 0.055876 3
Q3nd median \(\Delta H_0\). 0.596456 0.129527 0.462082 0.279821 9
Q3nd highest\(\Delta H_0\). 0.413650 0.199014 0.285729 0.275513 6

We selected the population with the worst median \(H_0\) error and the corresponding realisation (realisation 5 for population Pop3) and use this realisation to produce the corner plot below.

We then selected the population with the best median \(H_0\) error and the corresponding realisation (realisation 3 for population Q3d) and use this realisation to compute the FOMs above and to produce the corner plot below.

Detailed results

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