Multimessenger astronomy, enabling pre-localization [1.0 yr]

FoM

Science investigation and Observational requirement: SI2.3 OR2.3a from Science requirement document.

For a MBHBs with source-frame mass in the range \(10^5-10^7\) M\(_\odot\) at \(z = 1\) measurement of: (i) sky localization within \(100\,{\rm deg^2}\) 1 day before merger and (ii) time to coalescence within 4h 2 days before merger.

- GREAT 100.0 [30 50 75] : SO2 Probability to predict merger time

Coalescence time prediction is OK if probability > 50% to get the error in the coalescence time better than 4.0 h 2.0 d before the merger.

- OK 72.58247334415235 [30 50 75] : SO2 Probability of advanced localization

Localization is OK if probability > 50% to get the error in the sky better than 100 deg^2 1.0 d before the merger.

- WARNING 35.84513465257289 [30 50 75] : SO2 Probability of advanced localization

Localization is OK if probability > 50% to get the error in the sky better than 10 deg^2 4.0 h before the merger.

Summary

MBHB with waveform IMRPhenomHM of

  • mass in 1.000000e+05-1.000000e+07 solar mass (log uniform)
  • mass ratio in [1, 10] (log uniform),
  • redshift in [1] (uniform in comoving volume)
  • chi in [0 - 0.99] (uniform))

Conducting monte-carlo over 2000 trials, randomizing spins, sky position and orientation

Detection probability coalescence time 2.0 d

Detection probability localization 1.0 d

Detection probability localization 4.0 h

Detailed results

PEoft c1

waveform paramters

'''

  • minf : 2e-05
  • maxf : 1
  • fend : None
  • tmin : 0.0
  • tmax : None
  • phiref : 0.0
  • fref_for_phiref : 0.0
  • toffset : 0.0
  • TDI : TDI2AET
  • acc : 0.0001
  • order_fresnel_stencil : 0
  • approximant : IMRPhenomHM
  • responseapprox : full
  • frozenLISA : False
  • TDIrescaled : False
  • LISAconst : {'OrbitOmega': 1.9909865927683783e-07, 'OrbitPhi0': 0.0, 'Orbitt0': 0.0, 'OrbitR': 149597870700.0, 'OrbitL': 2500000000.0}
  • LISAnoise : [[ 2.00000000e-05 3.26116899e-45 3.26116899e-45 -2.35000529e-51] [ 2.10000000e-05 3.04638010e-45 3.04638010e-45 -2.59086519e-51] [ 2.20000000e-05 2.86794944e-45 2.86794944e-45 -2.84347125e-51] ... [ 9.99998000e-01 1.12081104e-36 1.12081104e-36 2.92351422e-36] [ 9.99999000e-01 1.12081125e-36 1.12081125e-36 2.92372017e-36] [ 1.00000000e+00 1.12081141e-36 1.12081141e-36 2.92392603e-36]]
  • t0 : 0.7
  • DeltatL_cut : -3539.182241100818
  • modes : [(2, 2), (2, 1), (3, 3), (4, 4)] '''

Input parameters


- log : log/SO2_localization.c1.log
- config : config.yml
- subconfig : 
- duration : 1.0 yr
- duty_cycle : 1
- armlength : 2500000000.0 m
- noise : CBE_1yr_6yr_tdi2/noise_background_1_yr.npy
- show : False
- fast : 0
- tdi2 : 1
- freqs : [2e-05, 1]
- force_duration : 1_yr
- report : CBE_1yr_6yr_tdi2/report_SO2a_localization.c1.md
- N : 2000
- random_seed : 9137
- mass_range : [100000.0, 10000000.0]
- z_range : [1]
- mass_ratio_range : [1, 10]
- time_range : [<Quantity 7. d>, <Quantity 2. d>, <Quantity 1. d>, <Quantity 10. h>, <Quantity 4. h>, <Quantity 1. h>]
- sky_thr_fom : [100, 10]
- coal_thr_fom : [<Quantity 4. h>]
- fom_range : [30, 50, 75]
- time_fom_sky : [<Quantity 1. d>, <Quantity 4. h>]
- time_fom_coal : [<Quantity 2. d>]
- fom_title : Multimessenger astronomy, enabling pre-localization
- fom_config : SO2/localization.c1.yml
- fom_or : SI2.3 OR2.3a
- fom_objective : Detectability/PE for MBHB
- nproc : 24
- fom_obj : For a MBHBs with source-frame mass in the range $10^5-10^7$ M$_\odot$ at $z = 1$ measurement of: (i) sky localization within $100\,{\rm deg^2}$ 1 day before merger and (ii) time to coalescence within 4h 2 days before merger.

Download

Coalescence time errors c1 2.0 d

Localization errors c1 1.0 d

Localization errors c1 4.0 h

Localization errors c1

Coalescence time errors c1