Multimessenger astronomy, enabling pre-localization of platinum binaries [4.5 yr]

FoM

Science investigation and Observational requirement: SI 3.2.3a from Science requirement document.

For a MBHBs with source-frame mass of \(3.10^5\) M\(_\odot\) at \(z = 0.3\) measurement of: (i) sky localization within \(1\,{\rm deg^2}\) 3 days before merger.

Probability to get the error in the sky better than 10 deg^2 7.0 d before the merger is 78.58130235415133

Probability to get the error in the sky better than 1 deg^2 3.0 d before the merger is 19.805169878334695

Summary

MBHB with waveform IMRPhenomHM of

  • mass in 3.000000e+05-3.000000e+05 solar mass (log uniform)
  • mass ratio in [1, 10] (log uniform),
  • redshift in [0.3] (uniform in comoving volume)
  • chi in [0 - 0.99] (uniform))

Conducting monte-carlo over 100 trials, randomizing spins, sky position and orientation

PEoft c0

SNR

time 0.5 0.05 0.95
30.0 d 92.46450112286249 49.36393642605614 164.46530953137898
7.0 d 201.8798449056602 85.59049280168898 389.3578281820975
3.0 d 294.8732295654776 123.3903846275418 589.4930789155185
1.0 d 478.99829637553523 199.15389381829777 968.3880030523419
10.0 h 752.424461079342 294.1119887372067 1601.9210594818073
4.0 h 1406.161963686674 529.4108419368098 3263.9072764742095
1.0 h 2818.249470744856 1211.3061435797488 5847.912913542696
0.0 h 4065.1714253375358 1839.0191987304736 9835.893817079239

Sky errors

time 0.5 0.05 0.95
30.0 d 10.93363388732794 2.0796377632406506 34.26151727613391
7.0 d 3.9413143419786354 0.4210022275606148 16.557436019099494
3.0 d 3.0433652303736443 0.28548200546399394 12.464381554184268
1.0 d 2.3068938660288736 0.10456534031730912 9.857682487815458
10.0 h 2.049732921696946 0.057959006969035005 8.741519414543353
4.0 h 1.7947499719231712 0.024237451894025007 7.936935398592637
1.0 h 1.1269160440957298 0.007347380675503348 6.809902391879885
0.0 h 0.17974211572389892 0.0011820380390166524 1.016061765112577

Tc errors

time 0.5 0.05 0.95
30.0 d 0.033891046022704215 0.019137059221898112 0.06361947095849915
7.0 d 0.0029766371968373965 0.0017080773932564726 0.005814877025502527
3.0 d 0.0010208966355791734 0.0006128223722891815 0.0019625365945373503
1.0 d 0.00029392223585779554 0.0001830197492996516 0.0005245003140706913
10.0 h 0.00013936674896180616 7.280446815034201e-05 0.00023172960051733835
4.0 h 6.99291873927377e-05 3.220229490653852e-05 0.0001674254015770849
1.0 h 4.738012168075839e-05 1.0974477638971796e-05 0.00014641627865535139
0.0 h 1.785135688589153e-05 2.0438457395767623e-06 5.4195997581678924e-05

Detailed results

Detection probability localization 7.0 d

Detection probability localization 3.0 d

waveform paramters

'''

  • minf : 2e-05
  • maxf : 1
  • fend : None
  • tmin : 0.0
  • tmax : None
  • phiref : 0.0
  • fref_for_phiref : 0.0
  • toffset : 0.0
  • TDI : TDI2AET
  • acc : 0.0001
  • order_fresnel_stencil : 0
  • approximant : IMRPhenomHM
  • responseapprox : full
  • frozenLISA : False
  • TDIrescaled : False
  • LISAconst : {'OrbitOmega': 1.9909865927683783e-07, 'OrbitPhi0': 0.0, 'Orbitt0': 0.0, 'OrbitR': 149597870700.0, 'OrbitL': 2500000000.0}
  • LISAnoise : [[2.00000000e-05 4.71195758e-45 4.71195758e-45 6.70581547e-55] [2.10000000e-05 4.71334803e-45 4.71334803e-45 8.15094897e-55] [2.20000000e-05 4.71480631e-45 4.71480631e-45 9.81800142e-55] ... [9.99998000e-01 2.73617388e-36 2.73617388e-36 5.73895037e-36] [9.99999000e-01 2.73619429e-36 2.73619429e-36 5.73933494e-36] [1.00000000e+00 2.73621460e-36 2.73621460e-36 5.73971931e-36]]
  • t0 : 0.7
  • DeltatL_cut : -18299.558214969933
  • modes : [(2, 2), (2, 1), (3, 3), (4, 4)] '''

Input parameters


- log : log/SO2_localization.c0.log
- config : config.yml
- subconfig : 
- duration : 4.5 yr
- duty_cycle : 0.89
- armlength : 2500000000.0 m
- noise : SciRDv1_redbook/noise_background_4.5_yr.npy
- show : False
- fast : 0
- tdi2 : 1
- freqs : [2e-05, 1]
- force_duration : 4.5_yr
- report : SciRDv1_redbook/report_SO2a_localization.c0.md
- N : 100
- random_seed : 9137
- mass_range : [300000.0]
- z_range : [0.3]
- mass_ratio_range : [1, 10]
- time_range : [<Quantity 30. d>, <Quantity 7. d>, <Quantity 3. d>, <Quantity 1. d>, <Quantity 10. h>, <Quantity 4. h>, <Quantity 1. h>, <Quantity 0. h>]
- sky_thr_fom : [10, 1]
- coal_thr_fom : ['nan']
- fom_range : ['nan', 'nan', 'nan']
- time_fom_sky : [<Quantity 7. d>, <Quantity 3. d>]
- time_fom_coal : ['nan']
- fom_title : Multimessenger astronomy, enabling pre-localization of platinum binaries
- fom_config : SO2/localization.c0.yml
- fom_or : SI 3.2.3a
- fom_objective : Detectability/PE for MBHB
- nproc : 24
- fom_obj : For a MBHBs with source-frame mass of $3.10^5$ M$_\odot$ at $z = 0.3$ measurement of: (i) sky localization within $1\,{\rm deg^2}$ 3 days before merger.

Download

Localization errors c0 7.0 d

Localization errors c0 3.0 d

Localization errors c0

Coalescence time errors c0

SNR c0